The noise about fixing the Covid-19 vaccine rollout: can we get 100 million vaccine doses out in the next 100 days.

President-elect Biden outlined his plan on Friday for fixing America’s Covid-19 vaccine rollout

Clearly the current vaccine initiative has been less than adequate. The biggest problem has been turning the entire distribution of the COVID-19 vaccines over to underfunded, overburdened state and local agencies. This has led to a fragmented, poorly co-ordinated and under funded rollout. The mix of problems is not consistent even from state to state and even in local areas.

President-elect Biden

At the core of President-elect Biden’s proposal is greater federal involvement in distribution. In contrast, the Trump administration was against a bigger federal role — even characterizing any intervention in state distribution programs as a federal intrusion.

Given the general concern in the population that the vaccine rollout has not been adequate, even HHS Secretary Azar has changed directions and suggested a broader distribution of all the vaccine stocks currently available.  There is general consensus that vaccination is the only real way out of this pandemic.

The U.S. vaccine delivery process has been as disappointing as the vaccine development was successful. The government promised 40 million doses and 20 million people vaccinated by the end of 2020; two weeks into 2021, 31 million doses of vaccine have been delivered, but only 11 million Americans have received at least the first dose of a vaccine, according to federal data

70% vaccinated by the fall…

While it is reassuring that even at these delayed vaccination rates, the country could still achieve the 70-plus percent vaccination rate necessary for herd immunity and suppression of new infections by the end of the summer, every week of delay means more people infected and more deaths.

Biden’s plan promises, “the full strength of the federal government, in partnership with state, local, and private organizations, for a truly national vaccine plan.” The full proposal can be read here, but the key points include: more support to states and local governments, a boost in vaccine production, better communication about the vaccines, an education and awareness campaign, and more. He reiterated his promise to have 100 million vaccine doses delivered in his first 100 days in office.

  • More involvement by the federal government in getting vaccine doses to people. That includes new vaccination centers, mobile vaccination units in underserved communities, reimbursement of states’ National Guard deployments, and expanding vaccine availability in pharmacies. 
  • Boosting the supply of vaccines: Biden says he will use the Defense Production Act to boost the manufacture of vaccines and related supplies.
  • Improved communication with states so they can receive fundamental information such as when and how much vaccine they can expect to get. This has been a big complaint from states today.
  • Expanded vaccine eligibility: Biden calls for expanding vaccine eligibility to include everyone 65 and older as well as frontline essential workers, including teachers, first responders, and grocery store employees. Several states have already moved in this direction.
  • Mobilize a larger public health workforce: Biden vows to hire and use a larger public health workforce to help deploy the vaccine across the country. He’ll also take other steps, like allowing retired medical professions who aren’t currently licensed under state law to help administer vaccines “with appropriate training.”
  • Launch a national public education campaign to help convince people to get vaccinated and address vaccine hesitancy.

The plan has defined objectives and goes well beyond the current federal efforts to deliver the vaccine in that last step to individuals. It could be more effective in fixing supply chain problems, if the use of federal powers can address bottlenecks. And if a a public education campaign can actually convince Americans to get vaccinated, we are all better off.

The issue is, of course, whether any of this can get implemented properly. Are the current failures the result of policy decisions or fundamental issues with the United States health care system?  Can the new president get support for the $400 billion COVID-19 plan from Congress? Even with Democratic majorities in both houses, he might face opposition to the high price tag. And even with more money and federal intervention, can we get more vaccine produced?  

If he pulls off his pledge of “over 100 million vaccinated in 100 days,” Biden has a chance to show that federal leadership can truly make a difference. If not, there will likely be significant disillusionment among those who voted for him in hope of a change. Regardless, at least we won’t have to listen to Adm. Brett Giroir whine,“The federal government doesn’t invade Texas or Montana to provide shots to people.”

Published by jbakerjrblog

Immunologist, former Army MD, former head of allergy and clinical immunology at University of Michigan, vaccine developer and opinionated guy.

5 thoughts on “The noise about fixing the Covid-19 vaccine rollout: can we get 100 million vaccine doses out in the next 100 days.

  1. Well said! The American vaccine seeking public needs full transparency moving forward. in order to regain any credibility .I believe we need to be briefed daily on exactly were the doses are in the supply chain. If Amazon can tell me where my package is at every step of the way, why can’t the most precious cargo – the vaccine be tracked in the same fashion? Remember the day it rolled out of Mi at the Pfizer plant? They showed us all that every package has a scanner tag that also triggers someone somewhere it the temp drops We need and deserve this level of detailed information to be released on a regular basis. On 1/15/2021, the BBC World News reported that Pfizer is having difficulty in the manufacturing process and is making “adjustments”-which would result in a 2 week delay- great! I sure hope that is only happening in their Europe operation and not here in MI. I wonder, will the defense production act even help improve the manufacturing of the vaccine at all- or just the production of syringes and PPE etc? Dr. Baker- do you have any preliminary information(perhaps on the phase 1/2 of the Ensemble J&J vaccine trial) regarding the efficacy of the vaccine from Johnson & Johnson? I read on their website that may be ready to release phase 3 data at the end of Jan? source https://www.jnj.com/innovation/questions-about-johnson-johnson-investigational-covid-19-vaccine?utm_source=facebook_cpc&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=mathaiqa_covidgenpop&utm_content=scienceofinnovation&fbclid=IwAR1s7qJCwJQGWwUH0VsDaflzyBf5iYN4mA5CSmZcvXfP-gvNCw679nlUpV0:

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Okay, Jim….to date, you’ve stayed off the politics. We’ve all appreciated that. Today’s post is different. If you’re going to be optimistic that the new administration can do a better job of distribution of the vaccine and criticize the current administration, let’s at the very least, give kudos to the current administration for all that they did to develope it with Operation Warpspeed. It could be the best of both worlds: one administration was successful with the incredibly fast development of a vaccine and now, perhaps, a new administration can be successful with the distribution. Fair is fair…

    Best, Karen Gordon

    On Fri, Jan 15, 2021 at 11:22 PM Pandemic Pondering wrote:

    > jbakerjrblog posted: ” President-elect Biden outlined his plan on Friday > for fixing America’s Covid-19 vaccine rollout. Clearly the current vaccine > initiative has been less than adequate. The biggest problem has been > turning the entire distribution of the CO” >

    Like

    1. This was not about the last administration but the next. It was informing the specifics of their plan, and I rather pointedly raise the reasons why it might not succeed. I have previously lauded OWS successes, but if you are not over 75, related to a medical individual or otherwise cannot get vaccine right now that success means nothing to you. Many angry people right now about who is getting the vaccine. Even though I checked every box for vaccination in group 1A, I have some concern about getting it first. I have many relatives, some even older than me with bad disease who have been locked up for months. Best, Jim

      Liked by 1 person

  3. Your post is point right on. We need a better national, coordinated distribution plan. I was “lucky” to get the vaccine as part of a trial. My neighbor who is 82 with heart failure has been trying to get the vaccine via hospital, county and pharmacy sites. No luck.

    We need more vaccine, funding to properly set up vaccination clinics and staff. I was supposed to start as a vaccinator working for a local county health dept on Tues. but the clinic was canceled. Lack of vaccine.

    Jim, you have never seen me work as a clinical nurse only as a hospital admin. I have always kept my nursing license, thank goodness. I helped run a disaster clinic after Katrina. Hopefully, I can handle working in a vaccination clinic.

    Liked by 1 person

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: