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Questions and Concerns About COVID-19

Who is Surgisphere and why is the scientific community concerned about their COVID studies?

An interesting problem in the scientific literature surrounding COVID-19 cropped up today. Two journals, the Lancet and the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM) published what they describe as “expressions of concern” (EOC) about a study in each journal focusing on coronavirus infection and drug therapy. The first study, in the Lancet, suggested that cardiovascular side effectsContinue reading “Who is Surgisphere and why is the scientific community concerned about their COVID studies?”

Has the coronavirus really “weakened” in Italy?

There was a provocative report today that suggested that a fundamental change had occurred in the SARS-COv2 coronavirus in Italy.  A senior Italian health official suggested in a Reuters article that the coronavirus had become “much less pathogenic (able to cause illness) in people in Italy. “In reality, the virus clinically no longer exists in Italy,” saidContinue reading “Has the coronavirus really “weakened” in Italy?”

Given the risk of COVID, what should one do with a loved one in a nursing facility?

One of the questions I am often asked: given the risk from COVID for an an elderly loved one in a nursing facility, should you move them from the facility? This is obviously not an easy question to answer, but there are a number of things to think about before making any changes in yourContinue reading “Given the risk of COVID, what should one do with a loved one in a nursing facility?”

Everyone take a time out!

Saturday is usually the day I write a somewhat lighthearted blog post giving my dog’s perspective on the COVID crisis. However, given what’s happening in the country right now I don’t feel much like levity. While the rioting that’s occurring is not directly the result of the COVID pandemic, I believe that social distancing andContinue reading “Everyone take a time out!”

More Info: Yahoo’s reported COVID outbreak in Wisconsin.

One of my readers found this data in a tweet from twitter.com/SeanTrende. He was also concerned by reports about increases in cases in Wisconsin, but was able to find the percent positive rate of the state’s testing. As you can see, the rate of positive tests continues to decrease. This suggests that the increase inContinue reading “More Info: Yahoo’s reported COVID outbreak in Wisconsin.”

Yahoo reports “record, daily COVID outbreak in Wisconsin” that does not appear to exist.

Yahoo news goes off the rails again, this time about a Wisconsin “COVID Record!” Yahoo reported Wisconsin saw a “record number of new coronavirus cases and deaths today.” This was a bit confusing as they said “Wisconsin saw a record number of new coronavirus cases and deaths reported in a single day on Wednesday, two weeks after theContinue reading “Yahoo reports “record, daily COVID outbreak in Wisconsin” that does not appear to exist.”

The next wave won’t happen, but clusters of infection will. The K factor tells the story!

The K factor is an estimate of the dissemination of a particular infection. In day to day use, it gives an idea of how closely a disease clusters vs. disperses throughout the population. This could be a result of how easily it infects people or how much an infectious agent, like a virus, is scatteredContinue reading “The next wave won’t happen, but clusters of infection will. The K factor tells the story!”

R.t. Update; changes in social distancing have yet to expand infectivity.

I am reposting this Blog because I have an important update with data from May 26, 2020 at the end. I think it is crucial to examine this statistic given the reductions in stay at home orders and violations of social distancing observed over Memorial Day weekend. “R.t” is a commonly used measure to describe theContinue reading “R.t. Update; changes in social distancing have yet to expand infectivity.”

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